This week reshuffle fever is properly on, and both Cameron and Salmond have carried out the most far-reaching of their respective terms of office – all the more extraordinary in Scotland given the high degree of continuity since 2007.
So what about the Scottish personnel changes? Here’s a personal take on the complete list, and hopefully not too partisan a view. Please do let me know if I’ve got any of the changes of roles wrong too.
First Minister – Alex Salmond (no change)
That would have been a surprise.
Deputy First Minister – Nicola Sturgeon (no change)
A change in DFM would have been almost as surprising. Nicola remains Eck’s preferred successor, and her increasingly warm and measured approach is a good balance to his bluster and swagger.
Cabinet Secretary for Finance, Employment and Sustainable Growth – John Swinney (no change)
Despite not being DFM, this has been a quasi-Prime Ministerial role for John, again balancing the Great Puddin’s Presidential style and ambitions. It’s a broad portfolio, made more manageable by the limits the Scotland Act places on it in terms of revenue (limits the SNP seem determined to stay well clear of, to my frustration). It is also frustrating to me that John, for all his strengths and personal warmth, pursues inactivity on climate change and a regressive tax policy, but a personnel change here would have been destabilising and implausible.
Cabinet Secretary for Health and Wellbeing – Alex Neil in, Nicola Sturgeon out
This feels like the first mistake to me. Many folk I respect think Alex Neil is a big hitter, and it’s certainly better for Salmond that he’s comfortably inside the tent. He is also smart and a good performer in the Chamber, especially on the partisan knockabout. But he’s a bruiser and (having had an office next to him for two years) pretty short on people skills. What’s more, Nicola had an opportunity to shine in the Health role, and she took it. While looking better than a Tory Health Secretary is a low bar, she won round many who’d not taken to her earlier in her career. I foresee a much less smooth relationship with the health professionals here.
Cabinet Secretary for Infrastructure and Capital Spending – Nicola Sturgeon in, Alex Neil out
Nicola will bring competence here, and broadening her Ministerial experience may have much to commend it to the collective project, but this swap basically looks like infrastructure wins and health loses.
Cabinet Secretary for Education and Lifelong Learning – Mike Russell (no change)
Although he’s angered the college sector with his merger plans (part of the SNP’s oddly centralist tendencies alongside police force unification), Mike remains one of the SNP’s few true intellectual heavyweights, and this role continues to be a sensible deployment for him. The mess over tuition fees must remain his biggest headache. I understand their position, especially given European law and financial pressures, but the outcome – that rUK students pay fees here but other EU students do not – is profoundly unfair. If I were Mike I might have wanted a horizontal move at least, perhaps.
Cabinet Secretary for Justice – Kenny Macaskill (no change)
This I was very pleased to see. If you’d told me that the best justice ministers I’d see in my lifetime this far would be a SNP one here and a Tory (now departed) in London I would have boggled. But Kenny is an excellent fit for this role, strong on equalities and truly liberal on justice (on minimum sentencing, for example, more liberal than the Lib Dems). The black mark for the “higher power” guff around Megrahi, a decision I nevertheless supported, is only a minor one.
Cabinet Secretary for Rural Affairs and the Environment – Richard Lochhead (no change)
I’d have liked to see Mike Russell take this on, perhaps, but certainly at least some change. Lochhead is amiable but appears committed primarily to one part of his brief – supporting an anti-conservation position on fisheries that’s not even in the interests of the industry. Not one of the heavy hitters, and not cabinet standard, for my money.
Cabinet Secretary for Culture and External Affairs – Fiona Hyslop (no change)
Not well loved by civil servants, but probably the argument for continuity won out here: it’s been the only vaguely turbulent portfolio, given the unfair sacking of Linda Fabiani, then Mike Russell’s spell here. I’d guess she’d be gone at the next reshuffle, whenever that is.
Minister for Energy, Enterprise and Tourism – Fergus Ewing (no change)
A continuing systematic disappointment. The only consolation is that this natural Tory isn’t let anywhere near social policy.
Minister for Local Government and Planning – Derek Mackay (no change)
Expected to be one of the rising stars of the new intake, he’s not impressed as much yet as predicted. I suspect he’ll get there, though.
Minister for Children and Young People – Aileen Campbell (no change)
As with Mackay, great things were expected of the baby of the government, but regular reports from others who’ve dealt with her suggest she’s out of her depth. She’s got an important bill to get through this year, and I hope enough support is available for her through that process. Again, like Mackay, she might get there, but it just might not happen in time.
Minister for Learning, Science and Scotland’s Languages – Alasdair Allan (no change)
Hard-working, level-headed, warm, and the deliverer of Holyrood’s best Tam O’Shanter (to my knowledge), he’s under pressure in his constituency, and this role must be partly with an eye to boosting his profile back home. Even if that wasn’t the case, though, he’s certainly solid Ministerial material.
Minister for Youth Employment – Angela Constance (no change)
Still somewhat under-rated, I think, and could probably have hoped for a promotion.
Minister for Parliamentary Business – Joe Fitzpatrick in, Bruce Crawford and Brian Adam out
Bruce is leaving on personal grounds and in some sad circumstances, but he is a major loss to the Government. Back when this was a hard job, during minority 2007-11, he worked the opposition parties, including us, with warmth, honesty, and as much openness as the position permitted. We knew his role was at least in part to make us like him, and it worked. He’s one of the non-Greens I personally miss now I’m out of the Big Hoose. It’s fortunate that Fitzpatrick doesn’t have as much to do in this role (hence perhaps the more junior title and the assumption of the whip’s position too) because he’s primarily notable for his loyalty and desire for office.
Minister for Community Safety and Legal Affairs – Roseanna Cunningham (no change)
The more I’ve seen Roseanna in action and on Twitter, the less I’ve taken to her. A bullying tone, an inability to listen, and a true sense that “we are the masters now” is how the SNP should operate. But I see why she couldn’t be moved down or out, given the SNP’s internal politics.
Minister for Environment and Climate Change – Paul Wheelhouse in, Stewart Stevenson out
This could be a major chink of light on some core concerns for Greens. Stevenson is his own biggest fan, and his adulation is misplaced. He never understood how other policy (e.g. on energy or transport) could and should be used effectively to tackle climate change, nor did he ever show any sign of interest in making alternatives to the car more affordable and accessible. Wheelhouse is one of the best of the 2011 intake, I believe he will listen, and frankly almost anyone would have been better here.
Minister for Transport and Veterans – Keith Brown losing housing, gaining veterans
It’s the weirdest portfolio, designed for Keith in particular. Despite substantial policy differences I’d obviously have with him, he’s nobody’s fool and it wouldn’t have made sense to have taken transport away him. Safe pair of hands.
Minister for Welfare and Housing – Margaret Burgess in, part of Keith Brown’s old role
I’m afraid I have to plead even more ignorance here than usual – she’s one of the 2011 intake that hadn’t really impinged on my consciousness.
Minister for Commonwealth Games and Sport – Shona Robison (no change)
EDIT: Apologies, I missed Shona out the first time. Extremely competent without necessarily having found an inspirational voice. Hard to see her making a mess of Ministerial responsibilities around the Games, which must already be the lion’s share of her Ministerial responsibilities. Again, no reason for a change here, and another prospect for promotion next time.
Minister for Public Health – Michael Matheson (no change)
One of the lower-profile stalwarts of the original 1999 intake: a plugger-away rather than a star.
Minister for External Affairs and International Development – Humza Yousaf in (new role)
Last but by no means least, if Humza hadn’t been promoted in any reshuffle I’d have been astonished. As a future FM, surely, this is just the next step, and an interesting role despite the limitations of devolution. Three more promotions to go?
#1 by Will Jess on September 5, 2012 - 7:22 pm
Interesting James but I thought the big news was Nicola in charge of indyref. Previously if Eck doesnt win he has to go, Nicola to pick up the pieces but now she’ll be damaged goods too. Very Strange.
#2 by Gregor on September 5, 2012 - 7:43 pm
You say that some of the 2011 intake hasn’t made much of an impact on you, but clearly neither has the Minister for the Commonwealth Games and Sport 😉
#3 by James on September 5, 2012 - 8:53 pm
Ah whoops! Will edit when I’m back at my proper computer.
#4 by James on September 5, 2012 - 10:07 pm
Fixed!
#5 by Gregor on September 5, 2012 - 10:18 pm
Just glad it was a positive one haha!
But aye, don’t think there was much chance of her going anywhere before 2014….
#6 by Douglas McLellan on September 5, 2012 - 8:35 pm
This is a double edged sword for Sturgeon though as if the referendum fails then that failure will take her, along with Salmond, with it. The approach to the referendum has been to have Salmond front alone and it thats where it sits in the public consciousness. This looks like the first move in shifting the blame…..
#7 by Jeff on September 5, 2012 - 9:08 pm
This isn’t an episode of The Apprentice where you set someone up to take the hit, the SNP is simply putting their best people in the most optimal positions.
I daresay the SNP’s (or more specifically Alex Salmond’s) woman problem is at least partly the reason why Sturgeon has such a high profile on this one.
#8 by Gregor on September 5, 2012 - 9:16 pm
As far as I can see, three older white men left, and in came a younger team that have an LGBT MSP, a female MSP and an Asian MSP amongst them. It’s a stark contrast to Westminster’s reshuffle that saw a whole slew of female MPs go to be replaced with yet more upper class white christian males.
Even their Minister for women doesn’t believe in female rights, worryingly!
#9 by Doug Daniel on September 5, 2012 - 9:59 pm
Not just that, but whereas the sole non-white member of the UK cabinet is practically the dictionary definition of tokenism (complete with the fact she can only attend due to having been given a peerage for the sake of being able to say “look, we have an Asian Tory!”), Humza is there through merit. You just can’t imagine Warsi ever having a really important ministerial role, whereas as James has already said, Humza is destined for the top job in Scotland.
#10 by Douglas McLellan on September 5, 2012 - 9:40 pm
I think you may have misunderstood me. All I was pointing put was that Salmond has a well established pattern of not being around to take the flack for hard issues. See recent panic over equal marriage for an example.
#11 by Angus McLellan on September 5, 2012 - 10:00 pm
Maybe it’s just me, but I have trouble with the idea that being the public face of a losing referendum campaign is the political kiss of death.
I don’t remember Clegg quitting after the AV vote didn’t go his way. And not only did Levesque stay on as PQ leader after the 1980 referendum defeat in Quebec, he went on to win the 1981 election handsomely. As for Parizeau after the 1995 referendum, his resignation wasn’t entirely down to the defeat I think. And in any event he was replaced as PQ leader by Bouchard, the man who had been the head of the the Yes campaign.
So, any counterexamples?
#12 by Ben Achie on September 5, 2012 - 10:04 pm
The SNP is playing to win. Anyone who is not part of that shouldn’t be in the party.
#13 by Colin on September 5, 2012 - 10:19 pm
Good blog, don’t agree with all of the characterisations but some of them are spot on. Particularly the education ministers. Mike Russell is an extremely well informed and capable Minister, not to mention a real intellectual and political heavyweight in his own right. The implementation of Curriculum for Excellence is one of the most complex policies since devolution and I think he has handled it really well considering what is at stake. Alasdair Allan is also very hard working and approachable – nice guy.
#14 by Chris on September 5, 2012 - 10:39 pm
I wonder if left-wingers, such as Shona Robison, likely to be opposed to NATO are being kept out of high profile roles in case of principled resignations.
#15 by Stuart on September 6, 2012 - 8:06 am
I just don’t understand Alex Neil. I don’t get how he can get such a high profile position in the cabinet, he just strikes me as an incredibly dislikeable person, so why the SNP would want him in such high ranking position in such an important period for the party, I just can’t understand.
He’s smug, condescending, partisan, abrasive. Those are not traits that make people listen to you or help you convince them of an argument.
I know a lot of people that dislike Salmond for similar reasons, but I disagree- Salmond can be sincere and reserved when it matters. Alex Neil, on the whole has one setting- smug.
#16 by BM on September 6, 2012 - 10:52 am
“I don’t get how he can get such a high profile position in the cabinet”
Because it keeps Alex Neil quiet and his supporters on-side.
#17 by Angus McLellan on September 6, 2012 - 12:07 pm
Another view, that of Angus Macleod in the Times today, is that Alex Neil is “self-assured and affable”. That might be code for “incredibly dislikeable … smug, condescending, partisan, abrasive”, but if not then someone who knows Neil and has no reason to flatter him disagrees with you. But as we all know, there’s no accounting for taste.
#18 by James on September 6, 2012 - 3:22 pm
Uncle Angus is a forgiving soul. But he probably hasn’t ever spent two years working in an adjacent office to Mr Neil. But I’d accept the “self-assured” description, whether or not it’s code for “arrogant”.
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#19 by Stuart Winton on September 6, 2012 - 10:32 pm
“Last but by no means least, if Humza hadn’t been promoted in any reshuffle I’d have been astonished. As a future FM, surely…”
Gosh, James, touting him as a future FM at this stage? That’s normally the kiss of death, surely? ;0)
#20 by James on September 7, 2012 - 1:07 pm
It’s only little old me doing so 😉