The SNP achieved their first council majorities under the STV voting system in Dundee and Angus last week.
In Dundee, every one of the 16 candidates standing for the SNP were elected, giving an amazing two SNP councillors in every one of Dundee’s eight wards, including in 3 three-member wards.
The results in Dundee are testament to how the SNP has focused on building electoral support over the long-term, but also shows the strategy the rest of the party needs to heed if they want control of Scotland’s other cities.
From its Victorian past as ‘Juteopolis’, with harsh working and living conditions and low wages for its predominately female workforce, to the loss of thousands of jobs in the last quarter of the 20th century as the shipyards, carpet manufacturing and jute factories closed, Dundee has been shaped both by industrialisation and post-industrialisation. In recent years the city continues to be beset with the creation and removal of manufacturing jobs, the most striking being the loss of almost 1,000 jobs as NCR has ceased the manufacture of ATMs in the city, where it has operated since 1945.
The public sector – the universities, NHS Tayside and Dundee City Council – remains the city’s main employer. But the development of the waterfront – from Scottish Government funding for an outpost of the V&A, to a memorandum of understanding to attract offshore wind suppliers to the city – as well as continuing developments in biosciences and computer games means Dundee’s moniker of the ‘City of Discovery’ gives promise of a better economic future.
The story of Dundee’s transformation is a story reflected in the SNP’s gains and now control of the city. Labour consolidated its parliamentary position in Dundee post 1945, but its share of the vote hovered around 55% well into the 1970s. Dundee may have been a working class city, but this figure indicates a third of Dundee’s working class consistently voted Conservative.
The rise of the SNP since the 1970s mirrors the collapse of support for Scottish conservatism. Starting with the SNP’s near miss in the 1973 Dundee East by-election, anti-Labour voters began to drift away from the Conservative Party to an increasing affection for the SNP, developed through de-industrialisation and the perception that Westminster governments, especially under Thatcher, cared little for the city and the problems of her inhabitants. Former SNP leader Gordon Wilson won Dundee East in February 1974, holding it until 1987 from where it remained Labour until Stuart Hosie’s close victory in 2005, with his vote consolidating in 2010.
The growth of the SNP in Dundee post-devolution – taking both Holyrood seats and comfortably holding one of the two for Westminster – may have sprung from a foundation of working-class Conservative support, but its success comes from adopting Labour’s traditional garb of social democratic policies, eating into the Labour vote. Even the headline figures in the SNP’s local manifestos in 2012 give a pithy reminder of how this strategy is one the SNP needs to succeed. Where Edinburgh SNP’s £20m for road repairs looks a little lacklustre next to Edinburgh Labour’s utopian promise of a co-operative council, Dundee SNP was bold and bright with the promise of £320m local investment “through building council houses and five new primary schools, as well as freezing council tax until 2016 and introducing a living wage for all council staff.” I’m sure Edinburgh SNP had similar policies, but they certainly didn’t put them front and forward.
Coupled with weak organisation on the part of the Labour Party, centered around maintaining its hold on Dundee West at Westminster, it has been possible for the SNP to straddle the spectrum of both being competent city leaders as well as the anti-establishment choice. As Dundee’s economic future seems brighter, despite setbacks like the loss of NCR jobs, the local SNP has been able to trumpet successes and blame losses on others.
It is a dichotomy the rest of the Scottish National Party needs to excel at, for winning council seats, the referendum and to retain power in Holyrood. To be competent at governing to give confidence to non-traditional SNP voters, while maintaining its allure as an alternative to the forces of conservatism south of the border and the fatigued Labour Party to the north.
Dundee is a city of innovation and re-invention, transforming itself from producing jute to producing graduates, with profound social and political consequences that the SNP have surfed to success. While many look at the chicken bones of Glasgow and Edinburgh for divination of the future of Nationalism and independence, I think the exemplar of how independence could be won can be discovered just a little further to the north.
#1 by Barbarian on May 7, 2012 - 1:51 pm
Perhaps the approach in Dundee was far more positive, and in some ways quite subtle.
Dundee is probably more natural territory for the SNP, whereas with Glasgow the SNP don’t seem able to develop an effective strategy to remove Labour.
#2 by Kirsty on May 7, 2012 - 2:12 pm
I agree – a softly, softly approach to electoral gains over time gives some benefits – for example, the SNP’s spin on its chances of taking Glasgow galvanised the Labour vote to come out in defence.
As for Dundee being natural SNP territory, I’m not so convinced – I think the city has more in common with Glasgow than with the SNP heartlands of rural Grampian. It seems natural Nat territory now probably because of the work put in since the 1970s to win seats.
#3 by peter on May 7, 2012 - 3:34 pm
looking at the standings in dundee and hillhead, maybe george galloway is the trailblazer for SNP success!!!! 🙂
#4 by Tris on May 7, 2012 - 5:20 pm
The SNP has worked for Dundee and they worked hard.
They have obtained funding; they are, as you say, building council houses, after years of them being sold off… and they are “nice” council houses; not the dumps that have frequently been built in the past, by friends of Labour councillors and the water front development is changing the city almost daily.
It’s not perfect, of course, but over the last two years since the SNP formed the administration, things have got better in Dundee.
The status of the SNP is helped by the MSPs Joe and Shona, both of whom work tirelessly and are the best we could possibly have. They are backed by administrators who work as hard as the elected representatives to ensure that people’s queries are dealt with. Stewart has clearly made his mark too in Westminster, appearing frequently on tv as the SNP shadow on Financial Affairs, offering cogent arguments, and more than holding his own with the English based parties’ shadows and Osborne.
Added to this the election team led by Willie Sawers knows a thing or two about psephology. There is no doubt in my mind that he is a strategist par excellence and we owe a good deal to his backbreaking workload. There is also a team of enthusiastic leafletters and letter folders. I got three communications from the SNP, including one early on the day, compared with one from Labour and none for anyone else.
The test will be for the next 4 years to keep up the standards which we have come to expect from all the team. It will be hard work. But the difference that the V & A will make to jobs should help. We will need the councillors to work as hard as Joe and Shona and their teams do to ensure that people remain personally satisfied with the service. Nothing else will do.
#5 by Don Francisco on May 7, 2012 - 6:01 pm
Dundee is benefiting from decisions made the best part of twenty years ago. I remember growing up the other side of the Tay, and frankly the place was only worth visiting for the shops for most of my childhood. The opening of the DCA certainly seemed to give focus for the more arty amongst us (and a nice place to eat and drink for everyone else), but after that the city centre just seemed to get bigger and better.
I don’t want to take credit away from the previous council, they have taken the ball and carried on running with it, no small achievement. But credit to those who made decisions all those years ago, when the place really was a dump.
#6 by andrewgraemesmith on May 8, 2012 - 12:21 am
It’s a very good SNP team in Dundee, they’re strong, good at mobilising and have worked hard over the years. When I was president of the Student’s Association in Dundee there was a good SNP branch on campus (at least one of whom is now a councillor) and the MPs/MSPs were around a bit, Shona in particular impressed me.
Having said that, Jim McGovern has also been a pretty good constituency MP and every time I worked with or contacted him in a professional capacity I was very impressed. The MP before him was Ernie Ross, who wasn’t up to much at all. The pity was that when Stewart Hosie waselected in 2005 it was at the expense of Ian Luke, a former Labour MP who I have a lot of respect for.
The change was a fairly slow burner though, for years the council was organised in an effective coalition against the SNP. Credit to the nats on the council house issues especially, the stock transfer which Labour were implementing when I moved there was very unpopular and was being done in a totally non transparant way.
#7 by Barney Thomson on May 8, 2012 - 1:26 am
Whit an affy lot o bluff and bluster aboot collapsin Tories an dummies takin spin.
Kin ye no jist accept thit the Dundee fowk ir gey mair wiselike thin the croudit messes o the Central Belt.
Wi’ve aye been aheid o the gemme. Mind we wir the first tae kick oot the Liberal Coalitionists – W. Churchill, 1922.