Another guestpost from the fabulous and multi-talented Kirsty Connell, a former Labour candidate.  Thanks Kirsty!
Now the Scottish Labour Party has new structures to start to play with, the next stage for its political rehabilitation is the biggie: choosing a new leader, one able to work with new powers and a base far beyond what their predecessors enjoyed.
A candidate to take on the might of Salmond and his SNP majority, and to galvanise and rebuild the Labour movement in Scotland, against the forces of Independence and Conservatism. A tall order. Too tall for Tom, certainly. But too tall for even this post to attempt.
Like back in 2007, however, far more can be garnered about the state of the Labour Party from looking to those manoeuvring in what is deemed the lesser race.
With Brown back then as the only candidate for leader, the party was left to exorcise some of its Blair-era demons with the Deputy Leadership campaigns, albeit beneath the behemoth of Brown’s inevitable leadership juggernaut. From Jon Cruddas on the working left to Hazel Blears for the Blairites, Hilary Benn for the intellectuals and Alan Johnson for the moderates, to the eventual Unite-backed victor Harriet Harman and Peter Hain for – well, it’s a broad church – the party could test some new directions and try on some old and new policies for size, before plumping for the counterpoint to Brown who held the traditional backing.
With current deputy Johann Lamont to officially announce her candidacy by the end of September, the Deputy Leader of the Scottish Labour Party position will presumably be vacant and thus contested. As back in 2007, the three likely sections of the party where the candidates could emerge from will show far more about Scottish Labour than the leadership contest itself.
Much like the probable eventual leader, the first constituency where the Deputy Leader could appear is from within the Holyrood parliamentary party, first elected pre-2011. Whoever it is, they’ll be described as a ‘safe pair of hands’, a ‘known quantity’, probably with the gravitas of having served as a Minister in a previous parliament and almost certainly with a safe seat, safe being frankly any constituency Labour still holds in Scotland.
Electing this candidate as Deputy Leader would be undoubtedly the safest choice for Scottish Labour, resorting to small steps instead of giant strides in progress back towards electability. Any candidate fitting this mould would have to be asked why they weren’t, given their experience, standing for Leader itself. Awkward. With Scottish Labour electing its leadership team from within this scion it will need a lightning bolt of Frankenstein proportions to revitalise the beast.
The second likely constituency for a Deputy Leader candidate is again from the Holyrood party, but elected in 2011. More daring, more exciting, more willing to embrace change and not rely on what went before, but the pressure on any individual, if elected as the heir-presumptive, could kill a fledging career. Scottish Labour probably can’t afford any more sacrifices this term.
Of course, one candidate for Deputy Leader is very openly being speculated upon, and his position, as a new-ish Scottish Labour MP would help embrace the new structures, while releasing some the pressure from Holyrood as it wrenches itself through the reforms. It also helps that Anas Sarwar is bright, articulate, capable and quite photogenic (although not as photogenic as Humza Yousaf, memo to Daily Express...).
Given the need for reforms to percolate through the party conferences, the new leader won’t be elected until December. An ongoing game then, but don’t forget to keep half an eye on what’s going on on the sidelines.
#1 by DougtheDug on September 21, 2011 - 9:35 am
The one thing I didn’t discover from the published parts of the Murphy-Boyack review is whether the new Labour regional manager in Scotland will have authority over the MP’s and MEP’s in Scotland and where that new manger will stand within the power structures of the Labour party.
The problem for both of the prospective new Labour and Conservative Scottish managers as they continue to defend the British Establishment against the SNP will be that neither will be party leader like Salmond with a control of both their party policy and all party members. They will be handicapped by being regional managers up against a party leader.
Unless of course Murdo manages to get his own new party started.
#2 by GMcM on September 21, 2011 - 10:33 am
The new Scottish Labour leader will be in charge of Labour in Scotland. Not Labour in the Scottish Parliament. That includes policy making, MPs etc etc
#3 by DougtheDug on September 21, 2011 - 10:44 am
That includes policy making, MPs etc etc
That’s interesting. Can you point me to where the review says that the new Labour manager will have control over the MP’s and MEP’s?
#4 by Doug Daniel on September 21, 2011 - 11:22 am
So if Miliband adopts a UK policy that is completely at odds with Scotland’s needs, the Leader of Labour in Scotland will instruct the Scottish MPs not to help push the policy through, even going as far as to support the Tories/Lib Dems if their position is more in line with Scotland’s needs?
Aye, right.
#5 by Doug Daniel on September 21, 2011 - 10:45 am
“Unless of course Murdo manages to get his own new party started”
For some reason, that makes me think of Murdo bursting into the Holyrood chamber, brandishing a couple of bottles of vodka and shouting “YEAH!!! Let’s get this party started!!!!”
#6 by DougtheDug on September 21, 2011 - 10:51 am
Unfortunately for Murdo I think the Conservative bouncers will eject him fairly quickly and the Conservative members will return to their tea and biscuits, almost like a mirror image of the coming Conservative party election.
#7 by Jeff on September 21, 2011 - 11:14 am
The main problem I potentially foresee Kirsty is that, depending on timings, if Labour pick an MP as leader then they will pick an MSP as deputy, and possibly vice versa.
So rather than the deputy leader being an indication as to who the leader will be, they may end up acting as a counterbalance and, arguably, undermining their own position.
That said, I don’t know when the timings are and if the election of leader and deputy are held at the same time then I definitely agree that, all things being equal, the selection of the deputy will show what appetite of risk Scottish Labour members currently hold.
I personally like the daring involved in elevating a 2011 MSP to the role of deputy. I’m not really in a position to suggest a name though.
(Thanks for the post!)
#8 by DougtheDug on September 21, 2011 - 11:54 am
Jeff,
…if Labour pick an MP as leader then they will pick an MSP as deputy, and possibly vice versa. So rather than the deputy leader being an indication as to who the leader will be, they may end up acting as a counterbalance and, arguably, undermining their own position.
I don’t really see the logic to this one because it’s not clear from the review what the scope of the new position will be in terms of authority within the party and that will have a bearing on whether they need to pick an MP to be in or out as manager or deputy manager.
The Murphy-Boyack review says that they willl, “create, for the first time, an elected Leader of the Scottish Labour Party”, but since there is no separate Scottish Labour Party already in existence then the manager will be the manager of whatever the review determines and that is not clear. Are the MP’s and MEP’s under the authority of the new manager? It’s also not clear what authority the new manager will have over councillors.
To be quite honest it may not matter too much because though Willie Rennie is the official regional manager for the Lib-Dems in Scotland with nominal authority over all Lib-Dems in Scotland his actual authority over the Lib-Dem MP’s is nil.
If anyone says that Willie Rennie can order the MP’s Michael Moore or Danny Alexander about I’ll take the bottle off them and lead them to a quiet room where they can sober up.
#9 by Doug Daniel on September 21, 2011 - 11:16 am
“rebuild the Labour movement in Scotland, against the forces of Independence and Conservatism.”
Well if that’s the remit, then you’ve lost before you’ve already started. The SNP has succeeded by making itself attractive to independence and non-independence supporters alike. If anti-independence is to be one of the defining features of Labour, then straight away you’ve lost 30%+ of the electorate. This just screams negativity – what about rebuilding the Labour movement in Scotland FOR something, rather than just AGAINST things?
At least the review has confirmed that whoever becomes leader will have to try to get an MSP seat in the next parliament if they’re not an MSP already. However, it remains to be seen if an MP would truly have the autonomy (never mind the will) to disagree with Ed Miliband when Scottish interests are out of sync with UK interests.
As for an MP becoming Depute Leader, it seems a bit pointless. I know it’s what the Lib Dems have done recently, but can anyone remember Jo Swinson doing anything of note in that role? The Salmond/Sturgeon model worked (MP as Leader, Depute as acting leader in Holyrood), but the other way round seems silly. Also, imagine this – both being MPs, requiring a THIRD person to act as spokesperson in Holyrood. That would be a farce.
I’ll keep my opinions of my former MP, Anas Sawar, to myself for the moment…
#10 by RichardCain2 on September 21, 2011 - 1:35 pm
…against the forces of Independence and Conservatism. A tall order.
Trying to find any middle ground between these two entrenched positions is indeed a tall order. Unfortunately Labour have been tending towards the latter, purely as a reaction to the former.