In the wake of the Japanese earthquake and the danger it posed to the Fukushima nuclear plant, most of Europe has been reconsidering its use of nuclear energy. Â In addition to the European states who have never used nuclear power (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, amongst others) Germany recently has decided to phase out nuclear power. Â Poland is due to hold a referendum on the issue at some point soon while Silvio Berlusconi’s intention to re-introduce nuclear as part of Italy’s power supply was thwarted as Italians turned out to defeat the measure in a referendum.
While the previous UK government committed the UK to building new nuclear plants in 2006 but the Scottish Parliament – with a coalition of the SNP, Liberal Democrats and Greens – voted in January 2008 to use planning powers to block the building of nuclear power stations in Scotland, confirming what had been long-held policy positions for each of the parties as the policy of the Scottish Parliament. Â While the new Scottish Parliament, given its SNP majority, is likely to maintain its anti-nuclear stance, the UK Government – as recently as October last year – set out plans to build new nuclear plants in the UK, and re-affirmed commitment that in March 2011, post-Japanese earthquake.
However, during discussions on the Calman Commission and contained within its interim report, there was some mention that the Scottish Parliament’s effective veto over new nuclear might be on the table, that the UK Government may be looking for ways of removing this as a means of securing the UK’s nuclear energy future. Â Naturally this provoked a heated response from the then-minority SNP government, and the issue was dropped from the final report.
I mention all of the above as the prelude to a fairly radical idea: the Scottish Government should perhaps hold a referendum on the issue of nuclear power in Scotland.
Here’s why:
1) Â This is a serious political issue, and one on which the public have a vested interest in deciding. Â There are still massive issues with nuclear waste disposal and getting it right is something which extends beyond the 129 MSPs who represent the Scottish public. Â It can also be spun as a moral issue – on the same level as divorce or abortion, both of which Ireland has held referendums on in the past.
2) Â The Scottish Parliament has signalled its intention to block the building of nuclear sites in Scotland but that block is based only on planning regulations. Â Holyrood does not have powers over energy policy, and if the UK Parliament deemed it necessary or prudent to build new nuclear in Scotland, it could over-rule the Scottish Parliament’s decision. Â A referendum which showed public support for the Scottish Parliament’s position would give further legitimacy to Holyrood’s decision, a clear mandate from the people on this particular issue.
3) Â The fact that energy remains a reserved issue would provide for some conflict with Westminster if it was perceived that the Scottish Parliament were seen to be interfering in an issue which is not within their purview. Â However, Holyrood – like Westminster – isn’t bound by any public vote in a referendum. Â The referendum, constitutionally speaking, can only be advisory. Â If Holyrood were to hold a referendum on this issue it would provide a blueprint for how an independence referendum might be conceived.
4) Finally, such a referendum would bring together elected representatives and activists of all parties and none to support an idea which crossed party lines. Â The experience of such a campaign – cross-party, in support of an issue which is bigger than each of their individual goals – would aid preparation for a future referendum… say on independence, where a similar cross-party effort would be required.
Of course, the latter point could (would) be regarded as clear constitutional game-playing – especially as playing politics with a serious political issues such as energy and nuclear power would (rightly) play poorly in public. Â But for the first two points above, a referendum may be a good idea – it would provide the public with a say on a key issue which will determine our energy future, and (if the public were opposed to new nuclear) it would strengthen the Scottish Parliament’s hand when dealing with Westminster on the issue.
Anyway, its just an idea. Â But it seems like a logical one, since its what has happened in other places. Â An idea – like so many of mine – which is unlikely to go anywhere though.
#1 by Alexander Belic on July 26, 2011 - 11:29 am
While you’re at it, why not have a referendum on Trident being kept in Scottish waters?
#2 by Malc on July 26, 2011 - 8:43 pm
How would we know that Trident WAS being kept in Scottish waters? Haven’t they all got stealth-type stuff that makes them undetectable?
#3 by Indy on July 26, 2011 - 12:25 pm
I can’t see that there is any real reason for a referendum as there is not even a hint of a threat at the moment of imposing new nuclear power stations on Scotland. I just don’t see how they could justify the expense of an ad hoc referendum.
#4 by Malc on July 26, 2011 - 8:44 pm
You are right – perhaps the time to do this would have been a couple of years ago, when the issue was on the agenda.
#5 by Steve on July 26, 2011 - 2:46 pm
How about a referendum on capping gas and electricity price increases instead? The SNP have raised the issue of high fuel prices, they don’t have the powers to cap prices, and it’s a real and immediate concern to hundreds of thousands in Scotland.
#6 by Indy on July 26, 2011 - 6:53 pm
I don’t think the UK Government has the power to do that either.
#7 by Steve on July 26, 2011 - 7:44 pm
I’m pretty sure they do, and that it happens in other countries.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/top-stories/2011/07/24/energy-bills-uk-families-face-soaring-fuel-bills-as-european-countries-cap-prices-115875-23291953/
#8 by Indy on July 27, 2011 - 8:50 am
I know they have done it in France as well. But I have been told that it can’t be done here. It’s an interesting point because if it can be done obviously it should be done.
#9 by Malc on July 26, 2011 - 8:46 pm
Also, I’m not sure that’s an issue you could have a referendum on.
#10 by Steve on July 26, 2011 - 8:51 pm
Is there a rule about what we can and can’t have a referendum on?
#11 by Malc on July 26, 2011 - 10:05 pm
Well… no, not as such. I guess your suggestion is as valid as mine. I just think there would be some debate about the nuclear issue, with passionate argument on both sides. Your suggestion… its hard to think that there would be much of the public arguing against your proposal! I think that’s the thing about referendums – they are used to settle a controversial issue (think Ireland and divorce or abortion; or numerous places and constitutional issues). They aren’t really a vehicle for the public to make government policy in specific areas.
#12 by Chas on July 26, 2011 - 3:34 pm
Hmmm…
1) Lots of other serious issues don’t get referenda – why should nukes be different?
2) Err… no they can’t. Section 36 of the Electricity Act is clear that no generating station over 50mw can be constructed without the specific consent of Scottish Ministers. And of course it’s Scottish Ministers, not the Parliament, that has this power to give consent. The Scottish Parliament motion from Jan 2008 was merely welcoming Scottish Ministers’ intention to say no (easy to mix Govt and Parli up these days I know).
3) Err… so, what’s the point then? We know from opinion polls the majority of Scots are anti-nuclear. No need for an expensive referendum to make that clear.
4) Cross party? Ahem! The only anti-nuke parties left are SNP and Greens! You’d maybe get Malcolm Chisholm breaking ranks in Labour, but that’s it. And it’s a Lib Dem Energy Secretary pushing them through down south, so the Scottish Lib Dems wouldn’t risk being seen as disloyal.
…plus of course it’s far better to be seen as pro-renewables (which the SNP are doing very successfully) than being anti-nuke. As the SNP victory in May made clear, being positive is much more appealing to the electorate than being negative.
#13 by Malc on July 26, 2011 - 8:41 pm
Chas,
1) Because lots of European states are having referendums on the issue – I suspect it would be good internationally for Scotland to demonstrate their opposition on such an important issue, generating good headlines (and potentially advertising that we’re open for renewables business…)
2) I’m willing to go out on an academic and constitutional limb (and suffer the inevitable backlash) by pointing out that the UK’s Parliament remains sovereign over all its devolved legislatures. But equally, the current UK Parliament is sovereign over previous parliaments, meaning they are not bound by previous legislation. Meaning that – even taking into account the Electricity Act – if the UK Government decided it was going to build nuclear power stations in Scotland, it could do so, with or without the consent of the Scottish Ministers. From a political standpoint, that’s unlikely of course… but constitutionally possible.
3) We thought we knew from opinion polls that Labour were the Scottish people’s preferred government 8 weeks before the election. No need for the election then? Referendums in the UK are always advisory (since Parly is sovereign, and not bound by them). But they serve a purpose – and I think in this case, the purpose would be to demonstrate to the UK Government that Scotland as a whole, and not just its Parliament (and Government) was opposed to nuclear.
4) And in an independence referendum which parties would be in favour? Oh yes… the SNP and the Greens. Cross-party – and a “practise run” at running a cross-party campaign. This was my cynical side shining through here…
You don’t think a campaign against nuclear power could be constructed positively? I’m pretty sure it would be quite easy: “Oppose nukes for a better, greener, healthier, Scottish nation” That’s a positive argument.. I even got the blog title in there…
#14 by Ben Achie on July 26, 2011 - 5:20 pm
A referendum may be a good idea at some point, but new nuclear is unlikely in the UK as it is impossible to operate commercially without government guarantees on liability in operation, and long-term disposal of waste. Regardless of reassurances to the contrary, it cannot stand on its own feet, even with “green” electricity subsidies. Any subsidy to the nuclear industry would be better and much more effectively spent on domestic insulation and draught proofing, along with the discouragement of electric heating in any form. Furthermore, King Canute could not do much about rising sea level, and neither can the Coalition! Westminster appears to be a lobbyist’s dream, and the sooner we have no part in the place, the better, as it lost the capacity to make sensible decisions a long time ago.
#15 by Steve on July 26, 2011 - 5:46 pm
That’ll be a “no” then!
#16 by Francis on July 27, 2011 - 5:13 pm
How about a referendum on whether or not to extend the operating lives of the ageing nuclear plants at Torness and Hunterston? Although this is technically in the power of the UK Government, Fergus Ewing told Parliament that the Scottish Government were ‘perfectly open to an extension of the live of the existing nuclear power stations’: http://news.bbc.co.uk/democracylive/hi/scotland/newsid_9524000/9524840.stm (14.30 mins in). Not quite as anti-nuke as you might expect.
#17 by cynicalHighlander on July 27, 2011 - 11:21 pm
Why do the Greens never appear to question nuclear CO2 emissions?
Oxford Research Group
The claim of the nuclear industry that nuclear power emits low levels of CO2 and other greenhouse gases is not based on scientifically verifiable evidence. Emissions of greenhouse gases other than CO2, often with Global Warming Potentials many thousands of times larger than carbon dioxide, by nuclear power never have been investigated and/or published.
Absence of data definitely does not mean absence of greenhouse gas emissions.
#18 by Indy on July 28, 2011 - 12:15 pm
Why would they? At this point in time the nuclear option is really not on the agenda in Scotland. Why spend time questioning arguments in favour of something that is not going to happen?