In our latest guest post, our “Welsh correspondent” Marcus Warner gives us his view on the election media game in Wales – and how it differs markedly from what we see in Scotland. Â He has a Wales-specific election blog up and running for the next 2 weeks – somewhere you should stop by if you have an interest in the Welsh election as well.
Too many of us who follow politics seem to have a love/hate relationship (often the case with symbiotic relationships) with the media. We continually bemoan the standard of reporting; the gossip>policy axis; the media bubble outrage and the downright inaccurate bias that we often see. But in one fell swoop we can fall right behind a media outlet who supports our cause or even scores a hit on our opponents.
Unfortunately in Wales we have none of those things happening. Wales must be one of the few democratic countries with such a media deficit (perhaps a bit of hyperbole but stay with me). We are about the only country that on the day we hold a referendum on the future Governance of our country we are treated to wall-to-wall coverage of the Barnsley by-election (and not even a competitive one at that). Question Time in Newport – a few months before a referendum and election in Wales and a question about who John Terry was shagging? Yes, exactly what we need.
In a fluid and less political world, old certainties can appear to be melting away. However, with the time a voter might spend considering whom to vote for shrinking, the media plays an ever more vital role. In Wales we are being let down democratically by our media landscape. Those that do try – BBC Wales, The Western Mail, S4C and a few of the regional papers are not really the problem. However, it is not talking them down to say that most welsh people don’t watch or read those outlets.
I look on with very green eyes at the situation in Scotland. While not perfect I am sure, and with my limited knowledge the source of this view, at least the Scottish media tell the story through Scottish eyes. You have Scottish newspapers that matter and matter about devolved politics. Wales’ media lens is focused on London, so much so that Unionist parties don’t bother to even have a debate on Welsh issues. Labour’s poll rating in Wales is very high, but their central message is that voting for them will ‘send a message to David Cameron and Nick Clegg’. After 12 years in power and with a law making £16billion a year budget, is that the best we can do?
The simple fact is that the lack of media clout means that the Welsh General Election has been relegated to a Westminster mid-term and a news item on the UK news just before the squirrel who can water ski –“And finally…â€.
Many commentators have bemoaned the lack of original ideas in all four parties manifestos – or perhaps that should be five, with the Greens in Wales poised for a potential gain in South Wales Central. I am biased – but I would say Plaid’s ‘Build for Wales’ is a radical way of not using PFI in straightened economic times. But I believe this is also the effect of having so very little media scrutiny that plays with the voters. The simple fact is that the Welsh public consume London media, it would take an earthquake in Wales for it to really register in that sphere, therefore they carry unaware of the Welsh nature of this election.
The news that the Scottish Sun is coming out for Salmond has left me buzzing from over here – firstly, because I want Scotland to vote SNP in their droves; but secondly because I can only begin to imagine how great it would be for something like to get national media coverage and reach into the living rooms of the voters that decide elections.
No doubt commenters will perhaps shoot me down (I do plead ignorance) about how bad the Scottish media is and how it also has a London focus. However, the Western Mail, the only ‘national’ newspaper in Wales, is read by less than 30,000 people and is very M4 corridor (probably Cardiff) centric. Viewers/listeners of the BBC will be pummelled about the AV referendum, while we will get the odd news item gazing from London at us poor, public sector Celts.
I will finish with an anecdote. My sister’s son was having a first birthday party for her son.  My sister’s stepfather approached me after introduction saying “So you are into politics aren’t you? What do you think about this vote we are having in May?†Just as I was about to answer about the Welsh General Election, he says that “I think any change to the voting system is a good thing, so I am going to vote for AV…†(and to be fair continued in an informed manner), I politely said “I will vote Yes, although I prefer PR, the most important vote is the Welsh General Election…†He looked at me puzzled as if he had no idea what I was on about.
With the Welsh Fourth Estate in such a state, count your Scottish chickens lucky.
#1 by Jeff on April 20, 2011 - 1:48 pm
Great post Marcus, thanks for guesting. Sorry to hear things are so bad in Wales and you are probably right that Scotland should be more grateful.
I guess our comparisons tend to be with Ireland or Sweden or Norway, countries with a relatively similar population but with an even stronger, healthier media presence (don’t mean to twist the knife there and exacerbate just how bad the Welsh situation is!)
On a fairly recent visit to Ireland every second person had a newspaper tucked under their arm on the Sunday and in Sweden people actually define themselves by what broadsheet newspaper they read, something that doesn’t happen in Scotland (or Wales by the sounds of it).
I always believe there is no-one to blame but the individuals, the people that happen to arbitrarily make up a particular nation/country/principality/whatever.
Parties going door to door, beefing up membership, students getting into journalism, Welsh blogs going that extra mile on stories all help. on top of that, going back to basics on why (if?) Welsh devolution was ever a good idea in the first place is where the breakthrough will come from, surely.
Speaking of which, we’re on the edge of that debate now. The Tories are in power, the cutting has started, the jobs are going, so what is the Scottish Parliament going to do about it, what devolution dividend can we expect?
The jury is still out on that one; but it sounds like it hasn’t even left the room in Wales.
#2 by Graves on April 20, 2011 - 6:32 pm
The ‘if’ question about devolution was answered quite decisively for most people by the March referendum – the problem is that 98% of the population still has no idea that our strengthened assembly is not comparable to the Scottish Parliament!
#3 by Jeff on April 20, 2011 - 1:49 pm
And congratulations, Better Nation is 217 posts old and yours is the first to include the fine word that is “shagging”.
A true milestone.
#4 by Scott on April 20, 2011 - 3:38 pm
a most interesting, if somewhat depressing post. I often find it bizarre that Scotland’s London media manages to juggle the insular and the unionist so well.
#5 by Jon on April 20, 2011 - 4:01 pm
The Green result will be interesting in S Wales Central; if they are to have an AM elected, it would probably be at the expense of Plaid’s Chris Franks. Traditionally, Plaid- who are several shades greener than the SNP here IMO- have acted as a brake on a real Green breakthrough in Wales, with wavering voters going with the party with seats and experience over the party with neither.
Plaid do look like being the losers of coalition government down there, perhaps a little unjustly. Welsh Labour seem very confident of steamrollering their way to a majority. Again, the collapse in the LD vote outwith Brecon & Radnorshire, and who benefits from that, will be telling.
Perhaps the commanding lead enjoyed by Labour in Wales and the seeming foregone conclusion nature of the result has dampened down interest somewhat. Looking in from the outside, it all feels a little bit like a re-run of 2003, where Labour made sweeping gains at Plaid’s expense, the eventual outcome was widely predicted in advance, and as a result the campaign in the last ten days or so felt a little bit like going through the motions.
Finally, it’s also *extremely* bizarre to see John Marek- ex allegedly “old” Labour MP/ flirtation with Ron Davies’ “Forward Wales” (RIP)/independent, standing for the Tory Party in Wrexham. How on earth did that happen? Also still a bit odd that Ron D is standing for Plaid, although that particular political journey is much more understandable.
#6 by Welshguy on April 20, 2011 - 4:07 pm
I agree 100%. It’s a real shame, and goes a great deal of the way to explaining how Plaid Cymru have benefitted very little electorally from devolution, compared to the SNP: look at any election through a Westminster lens and there are only three political parties; despite the Lib Dems already being largely irrelevant in Wales I suspect the most-reported story from the election will be their collapse.
One can only hope that after the Yes vote in March, issues will start to be seen from a more Wales-centric position.
#7 by Welshguy on April 20, 2011 - 6:28 pm
I count Plaid’s Ieuan Wyn Jones as the party leader least likely to still be at the helm come 2016 (although there’s an outside chance the Conservatives might take Brecon & Radnorshire, knocking out the Libs’ Kirsty Williams and simultaneously (perhaps) making their own leader lose his list seat!). He has had a good run but Plaid need a more charismatic leader (what we wouldn’t give for Alex Salmond…).
I suspect the results for Plaid won’t be all that bad – UNS never happens in Wales, and it’s my suspicion that many of the Plaid voters going over to Labour are in safe Labour valleys seats; list members like Chris Franks are the most vulnerable. Pollsters suggesting seats like Carmarthen East or Arfon might fall to Labour are putting too much faith in UNS.
#8 by Graves on April 20, 2011 - 6:29 pm
I have to say that the picture you painted does not strike a chord: electoral posters are springing up like mushrooms in my constituency (Cardiff North), I saw the same thing in South Pembrokeshire the beginning of the week. The primary difference between Alba and Cymru in media terms is that ‘Wales’ tends to mean ‘my valley/bro/region’ as opposed to country for most Welsh people. Which means that Plaid will have to work much harder than the SNP for similar gains – can it become the party of Wales i.e Rhondda in the way it presently is the party of Wales i.e Arfon?
#9 by Marcus Warner on April 20, 2011 - 10:51 pm
Thanks Guys.
Much of this is linked to our pretty farcical devolution settlement. We are nowhere near Scotland’s powers and consider that the relationship was set out different – Scotland’s powers were defined as ‘everything but…’, Wales’ is ‘nothing but…’.
Scotland clearly had a more independent civic society, media and legal system prior to devolution.
Graves – I work for a Plaid politician, based in the Rhondda. They caused a political earthquake there in 1999 – winning the Assembly seat and the Council. I sense that the tide is turning back to plaid there.
In terms of the greens, i must make a few comments. Firstly, they are yet to shake off their British tag. No committment from the Welsh Greens on Independence. Given Plaid are far closer to the Greens than the SNP are, it is a source of dissapointment that many Greens cannot join Plaid as we did with Cynog in 1992.
That sounds a bit dismissive of the Greens, I clearly agree with some of the ideas they have, but it’s frustrating when the greens take a few hundred votes of us in a council election allowing Labour to continue to win.
Particularly as I fail to see how Plaid are not in the same place as the greens on a whole range of issues.
#10 by Alwyn ap Huw on April 21, 2011 - 1:00 am
Plaid is part of the problem of a low profile election in Wales, Marcus. Plaid has seven of the constituency seats on a fairly low turnout in Assembly elections, but only holds three of the comparative seats in the higher turnout Westminster elections. Most of Plaid’s core vote will watch S4C, BBC Wales, ITV Wales and read the Western Mail and Daily Post, so will be aware of the election and will vote. If Plaid raised the awareness of the election by posters and knocking doors and loudspeakers on cars then the party would be informing its, not so Welsh focused, opponents of the existence of the election to its detriment.
I voted (Plaid twice) last Friday, but the only party that had actually worked hard to try to gain my vote in Aberconwy are the Liberal Democrats, the only one of the big four that hasn’t got a hope of winning, the other three have been keeping a low profile and only working on their own core vote.
#11 by Welshguy on April 21, 2011 - 10:10 am
I live in Bangor (Arfon), and have not seen a single poster or anything for any party in town, apart from – get this – a UKIP van, parked outside a petrol station.
The difference in Plaid’s performance in Westminster is down to more than just different overall turnout % – they received 55,000 fewer votes in the 2010 general election than in the 2007 assembly election.