On MitB, I regularly whacked the Lib Dems for everything I could think of. But given we’ve started afresh, with a blank canvas and a promise of positivity, that has to stop. Which is a shame – there isn’t much more fun in the blogosphere than baiting Lib Dems. Nevertheless, I’ll try to get through a post without dissing them too much.
I think one of the most surprising things that came out of the Conservative-Lib Dem coalition was, for me, the fact that the Lib Dems took on the role of Secretary of State for Scotland. I was a little surprised that they didn’t give it to Alastair Carmichael, who acted as Scotland spokesperson during the election debates (and, in my mind, was a very able performer, even – and I don’t think its unfair to say – outshining Alex Salmond in the event at the Hub) when they did get the position. More surprised that they gave it to Danny Alexander, and then Michael Moore after Alexander’s move to the Treasury, but then I don’t know that much about internal Lib Dem personalities and cliques.
Anyway, I was more surprised that they took on the role – though I guess the Conservatives didn’t really give them much of a choice (with only one MP in Scotland, the role was probably odds-on to go to a Lib Dem). For me, the Conservatives must be delighted with this – and the fact that they have a Lib Dem in the Treasury too – for the simple reason that, although the policies that are being enacted (and for “policies†read “cutsâ€) are pretty much Tory ones, they can point to the Lib Dems and say it is them who is doing it. In essence what Scotland has is a Lib Dem “Governor General†who fronts for the Tories in Scotland – providing a shield for them and their unpopular cuts up here. The Tories must be delighted.
But… I said I’d be positive, so here’s something: I can understand why they took the job. I think pre-Nick Clegg and the TV debates, the Lib Dem vote was in free-fall. There were some polls in which they had fallen below 15% nationally – and, indeed, they were squeezed out of the Lab-SNP and Con-Lab narratives in Scotland. The Clegg effect kept them at 2005 levels. But because of the two narratives here, they do need a handle on why they remain relevant in Scotland – and I think the fact they have the Secretary of State for Scotland gives them that opportunity. Now it may be that relevance is symbolic – that Michael Moore can say what he likes in the Cabinet room and no one will really listen – but it does look to the public like they have a role to play. And that, in elections, is important.
So yes, on the surface, having a Lib Dem Secretary of State for Scotland gives the Tories a nice shield in Scotland. But on the other hand, it also delivers something for the Lib Dems too – a measure of relevance (which, arguably – and I’m sure you’ll debate the point – they may not have without it). Everyone’s a winner.
But what about the voters? Will they see it the same way? “The Lib Dems have the guy running Scotland in the Cabinet, therefore we must vote for them†is one way they could look at it. Alternatively, the “Lib Dem Scottish Secretary is a front for Tory cuts in Scotland – we must punish them by voting against them†is another potential view.  So how will that go? I guess time – and the full force of the cuts – will tell.
#1 by Caron on September 4, 2010 - 11:50 am
Labour and the SNP shouldn’t expect to escape scrutiny for their roles in dealing with the public finances – Labour for creating the mess we’re in, the SNP, at least at national level, pretending it’s not happening.
I think the Liberal Democrats did what we did because it was right to give the country a stable government and I think it’s clear that we have influenced that Government. There is a price to be paid in that we don’t get everything we want and we’ve had to give way on some things we’d rather not have done.
I don’t accept we were in freefall – I think there are things where we could improve, and I’ll be blogging about them myself next week as Holyrood resumes, but we held our own in the General Election, apart from very sadly losing Willie Rennie. Actually, in real life, I’m finding to my surprise that people are quite positive about the Coalition as well and they like what our Ministers are doing.
There’s clear evidence that we are taking the sting out of the Tories. When did you ever hear Tories caring about fairness in the tax system, or social mobility? When did they take darned near a million people out of tax altogether? It’s only a start, but an important one, with a promise of more over the term of the Coalition. However bad things get, they would be much, much worse with the Tories governing on their own.
I think it’s also important to look at how the overall tax burden, including the bit that the Scottish Parliament can influence, is used. I’m talking about things like the effects of the Council Tax freeze and free prescriptions which have delivered much more for the more affluent and much less for the poorest. There was some research last year that showed for sure that those on higher incomes benefitted much more from the SNP’s policies. Can they show that they are committed to a fairer tax policy? We’ll see.
On Alistair, I actually wish he had a higher public profile because he’s probably my favourite MP and I agree that he was more than a match for Salmond in the debates. However, I blogged some time ago about how he was perfectly suited for the role of a Government Whip. It’s bound to get fraught sometimes, but he’s got some of the best interpersonal skills I know, along with a brilliant sense of humour.
There’s a long time between now and next May and I don’t think we are in a position to predict what’s going to happen at this stage. I’m fairly sure that the Liberal Democrats will campaign as we always do on the issues that are important to us – freedom, fairness and sustainability.
#2 by Malc on September 4, 2010 - 3:07 pm
I kind of get the feeling that you went on the defensive a bit there Caron! I thought I’d been much more balanced than you gave me credit for – I argued that having a Lib Dem Sec State was both a positive and a negative, and that I wasn’t predicting anything, just that time would tell on it.
There’s way too much in your comment for me to respond to completely, but I also wanted to say that a) I never said Labour and the SNP would escape scrutiny – all I was implying was that being in Government (and helping the Tories) was bound to have a cost and b) the pre-Clegg TV debates DID show a big fall in Lib Dem support in Scotland. Perhaps ‘freefall’ isn’t how you would describe it, but “falling” was the way in which the Lib Dem numbers were going. For me, the fact that you ‘held your own’ in the General Election was pretty much due to Clegg’s participation in the debates.
Anyway, I’m sure you disagree with all of that, but that’s how I saw it.
#3 by NoOffenceAlan on September 4, 2010 - 7:01 pm
I think we’ll know more when
(1) both the parliaments are back in session and
(2) Labour have a new Shadow Secretary of State for Scotland .
Then we will see more of Michael Moore (or Danny Alexander if the issue is a cross-border funding dispute) doing battle in the TV studios with
Murphy/Alexander/Salmond/Gray.
The Scottish Conservatives may well be sidelined in these arguments.
#4 by Jeff on September 4, 2010 - 7:48 pm
Yeah, I think the jury’s still out.
The people I know who voted for them wanted the Lib Dems in to mix things up, not necessarily pull things ‘left’ in the old-fashioned sense. One could argue that that is what they have done with their limited opportunities and consequently may well hold onto some of the May 2010 support, and attract further support.
Then again, if the press, SNP and Labour stick the boot in relentlessly, however unfair that may or may not be, they could slump dramatically.
Too early to tell I say.
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#5 by cynicalHighlander on September 4, 2010 - 9:03 pm
http://haringeygreens.blogspot.com/2010/09/are-lib-dems-finished.html
Southerly winds today next week will see a change. Like the weather what they stand for can be very fickle.
#6 by Phil Hunt on September 4, 2010 - 9:33 pm
There’s a council by-election in Edinburgh next week — so we’ll start to find out soon.