The Labour leadership contest is finally coming to an end with speculation growing that Ed Miliband may pull off a surprising win.
I’d personally be content with this result as, although David Miliband would be an effective opposition leader and encourage me to vote Labour, Ed Miliband has a vision and set of policies that, as leader, would encourage me to join the party. An encouragement that I am confident I would resist, I hasten to add. A pale Green Labour party would always be secondary to the vibrant Greens on environmental affairs.
Anyway, despite the strong regard that proper lefties have for Ed, the Labour party is primarily in the business of winning elections, not beefing up its membership, (though of course the two enjoy a considerable, causal overlap). The pragmatic choice of the elder brother vs the idealistic choice of the younger brother has already been discussed at length (mostly in The Guardian) so there is little point in rehashing those arguments here.
However, an interesting aspect of this brewing drama is that most Scottish MPs voted for David Miliband while it is Ed Miliband who is allegedly on course to win the nomination (according to recent polling and admittedly only by a tiny 1%). What would this mean for those north of the border? We are talking about a potential future Prime Minister, as early as 2015. Would party leader Ed command Scottish MPs’ full support? Are we set for another power struggle within Labour, destabilising the leader and dangerously undermining the arguments against the coalition’s cuts? I hope not, but I cannot see Ed Balls and David Miliband serving peacefully under young Ed for four and a half long years of Opposition.
Furthermore, what is Ed’s views on independence, has anyone checked? Is this one reason why the Scottish Labour MPs largely refused to back him?
It is perhaps too early to guess what impact the regular sight of Ed Miliband with his hand on Iain Gray’s shoulder could do for the Holyrood elections. My own view is that both men do not instil confidence and rather exude a certain nervousness, something that would sit awkwardly against the cocksure Alex Salmond and/or the steely resolve of Nicola Sturgeon. Of course, a more humbler approach to politics may be what the country is looking for after the four years of the bombast and ballast from the current First Minister.
Without wanting to go off on tangents, another aspect of the coming election campaign, with either of the Milibands as leader, is that it will be unmistakably male. Annabel Goldie and Nicola Sturgeon will be rare female voices in a contest that will heavily involve Salmond, Gray, Scott, Moore, Miliband, Murphy, Mundell, Swinney, Robertson, Carmichael and, well, I could go on and on and on. What happened to that springboard of equality in the late 1990s? Have political parties taken their eye off the gender split ball?
So, the big question is – would Ed Miliband as PM-in-waiting make Scotland a Better Nation?
That is a big question, and probably too early to say, but the early signs are encouraging as his anti-War and anti-nuclear-power stances should dovetail nicely with large swathes of the Scottish public’s views. He is amiable and inspiring and seemingly capable of working consensually and constructively. The biggest question mark for me is whether Labour can hold themselves together with such a surprise winner at the helm, despite the shared focus of beating the Tories.
#1 by Douglas McLellan on September 17, 2010 - 3:49 pm
Every time I look at and listen to Ed Miliband I cant help thinking that he is some Labour version of John Major. He appears to be a nice chap and will suit the calm role of elder statesman on Sunday morning TV quite well in about 15 years.
However I cannot, in anyway, be inspired or excited by anything that he has said. I may be too far from the Labour Party to ‘get’ Ed Miliband but all of the other candidates prompt a far greater reaction than the m’eh that Ed Miliband invokes in me.
#2 by NoOffenceAlan on September 18, 2010 - 4:30 pm
I think MPs tend to vote for who they think is going to win, rather than who they think is the best candidate, because of the patronage which the eventual leader has.
For this reason, I’ve heard some people arguing that MPs’ votes should be secret, like everyone else’s.
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#3 by Shuna on September 20, 2010 - 11:55 pm
Asa labour Party member from north of the border I am voting for Ed Miliband (thanks for reminding me! I need to do that asap!) Primarily it is because of the vision he has, he comes across as nice and not smarmy or arrogant (Mr Clegg should take note). But a big part of my choosing him is because he is less of a clone of Clegg/Cameron – both of whom have tried to copy Blair in their appearance etc (and failed IMHO).
I have no idea what his ideas about devolution or independance are – which tells me he hasn’t tried to be all things to all people (and we all know that is destination failure) – but he did travel north in his campaign, so he must be interested?
BTW Ed M has been my choice pretty much from the beginning of the leadership contest – so I am not just going with the flow!